Abstract Identifying and dating explosive bubbles when there is periodically collapsing behavior over time has been a major concern in the economics literature and is of great importance for practitioners. The complexity of the nonlinear structure inherent in multiple bubble phenomena within the same sample period makes econometric analysis particularly difficult. The present paper develops new recursive procedures for practical implementation and surveillance strategies that may be employed by central banks and fiscal regulators. We show how the testing procedure and dating algorithm of Phillips, Wu and Yu , PWY are affected by multiple bubbles and may fail to be consistent. The present paper proposes a generalizedversionofthesupADFtestofPWYtoaddress this difficulty, derives its asymptotic distribution, introduces a new date-stamping strategy for the origination and termination of multiple bubbles, and proves consistency of this dating procedure. Simulations show that the test significantly improves discriminatory power and leads to distinct power gains when multiple bubbles occur. The new approach identifies Keyphrases.
Kim is founder and president of Sweet Monday: Women’s Socials on a Shoestring. Tied to a Generous God, an international nonprofit women’s creative evangelism ministry. With a mission of reaching out to women one sweet invitation at a time for Christ, Kim encourages women to daily hear God’s voice above all others, through His Word, and energizes them to share Christ in a sweet and simple way.
In the midst of marriage and motherhood, after a stint as a school teacher and time spent on staff with Campus Crusade for Christ now CRU , no one was more surprised than Kim at how God multiplied five cupcakes, two pieces of candy, and a simple invitation to her home the first Monday of the month, no shoestrings attached! Women laugh, learn from other women, and leave with an introduction to Jesus Christ.
Have you been looking for a white dating site only to find a list of scams and every reason possible to date outside of your race? It always baffled me how there are so many articles explaining how whites looking to date other white people and only white people, are racist and wrong for even thinking about such a thing. How is that racist?
Zoologischer Garten Zoo Share: Basel’s large zoo is affectionately known as the Zolli by locals. Founded in with European animals, today the zoo is known more for exotic species. With predators, primates, mammals, reptiles, birds, and aquatic life, the population ranges from seahorses to elephants, the latter now enjoying a new elephant enclosure added in with wallowing pools, showers, and a savannah-like environment. The lion enclosure and monkey house are highlights, along with the penguins in the vivarium, which also houses fish and reptiles.
The aviary houses both indigenous and exotic birds, as well as birds of prey. The zoo has been particularly successful in breeding rhinoceros and cheetahs.
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Islam was introduced to Ethiopia in the 9th century. Three mosques of Harar have been dated to the 10th century The walls surrounding this sacred Muslim city were built between the 13th and 16th centuries In the 16th century, Harar was established in its present urban form and from to it was the capital of the Harari Kingdom.
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Sols 3 April Posted by Ryan Anderson Opportunity spent the last couple of days driving closer to Cape Verde, the richly layered cliff face in the side of Victoria crater that is her primary target. We bumped those frames to a higher priority today, so they should be coming down Friday or Monday. The navigation cameras, however, took some nice photos of the rocks and scree at the base of Cape Verde at several times of day to get an idea of what the shadowing is going to be like.
The shadowing is important when planning when to take science images because it can help to pick out fine details in the cliff face that would otherwise be hidden. Here are a couple of the images that came down from the Nav-Cam.
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The face of hate never looked so cute. White-trash pinheads who dig Adolf Hitler, swastikas, and worshippin’ Wotan now have a place to let their fascist freak flags fly without worrying about what Zionists and race-mixers have to say. Whereas the real MySpace deletes the accounts of supremacist asswipes using its service, Newsaxon. Only ubermenschen and uberfrauleins allowed. Hate-mongering, ethnic slurs, and jokes that’d make Don Imus’ toes curl are practically required on this bigot-friendly site.
As you might expect, pics of der Fuhrer and other Nazis of yore abound, as do references to flicks like Romper Stomper and American History X. There’s also praise for racist bands and performers such as Saga, Skrewdriver, and Prussian Blue, this last being the duo of Lynx and Lamb Gaede, the Olsen twins of the far-right. I discovered the site while researching an item in this week’s Bird column about former Mesa city-council candidate J. Which begs the question for white power doods: Who would you rather bone: Rosie O’Donnell or Beyonce?
For the ladies, Artie Lange or Denzel Washington? There’s some pretty vile stuff on here, like polls asking if you believe the Holocaust is a hoax or not, and macabre cartoons and fake ads aimed at African-Americans and Latinos.
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Free sex chat lines in the Dating ru With the high purity Ru powder of the present invention, the content of the respective alkali metal elements such as Na and K are 10 wtppm or less, and the content of Al is in the range of 1 to 50 wtppm. It is desirable that the purity excluding Al and gas components such as oxygen, nitrogen and hydrogen is Today, the use of Ru as an electrode material or the like of a semiconductor capacitor is rapidly expanding.
The reason the content of the respective alkali metal elements such as Na and K is made to be 10 wtppm or less is because alkali metals move easily in the gate insulator and cause the MOS-LSI interfacial quality to deteriorate. The harmful effect of alkali metals is being strongly pointed out. A high purity Ru sputtering target or high purity Ru thin film formed from the sputtering target wherein the respective content of alkali metal elements Na and K is 10 wtppm or less, the content of Al is in the range of 7 to 50 wtppm, and the purity excluding oxygen, nitrogen, and hydrogen gas components is A method of manufacturing high purity Ru powder, comprising the steps of using an Ru raw material having a purity of 3N Search for dating ru
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The schools of Pavia were famous in the time of Charlemagne, who took from there the grammarian Petrus Pisanus; in a palatine school was established in the .
This thesis focuses on the glass component recovered from a house cistern complex Feature F and a warehouse Features A and C during the to field seasons. Glass artifacts range from a variety of bottle glass including alcohol bottles and proprietary medicines, to cut glass such as tumblers and decanters, to window glass. Feature F’s analysis has shown that it maintained a primarily domestic nature despite having been reused by different groups at different times.
Glass recovered from Feature F was primarily alcohol bottles, but large numbers of food bottles, medicines, and window glass was also found. The warehouse was used commercially and appears to have been continuously reused. The most abundant item recovered from the warehouse was window glass; however large quantities of alcohol bottle fragments were also recovered. Also included in the glass analysis is a study of window glass dating techniques using glass thickness. By using a formula originally developed by Randall Moir , and following an example set by Grant L.
Day , I was able to illustrate a process for dating nineteenth century window glass that is fairly accurate for determining periods of transition, addition, and reconstruction to buildings occupied over long time periods. Comparison of the glass from these two features using window glass dating formulas and other comparative evaluations as well as dating and functional analysis is revealing useful information about each of these structures individually, as well as about activity on the island as a whole.
Rediscovering nineteenth century Indian Key through glass analysis” Graduate Theses and Dissertations.
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Menu Alex has the ability to absorb other individuals, taking on their biomass, memories, experiences, and physical forms. Many reviewers compared and contrasted it with Infamous, another open world action game released one month prior to Prototype, by Sucker Punch Productions which features a superpowered protagonist with developing powers in an urban world. Ultimate Destruction, also by Radical Entertainment.
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Seattle Power and Water Supply Collection Historical photographs and pamphlets documenting the construction of hydroelectric power and water supply facilities built in Washington State from the late s to the s including the Snoqualmie Falls Power Plant, the Electron Plant, the Skagit River Hydroelectric Project, and the Cedar River water supply system.
Sephardic Studies Collection The Sephardic Studies Digital Library and Museum has collected from members of the local Seattle Sephardic community more than original Ladino books and thousands of documents composed in Ladino as well as other relevant languages, such as Ottoman Turkish, Hebrew and French. William Map Collection Dr. Skinner was a leading proponent of the spatial approach to Chinese history and the use of maps as a key class of data in ethnography. This collection of over maps comes from his personal collection and covers a variety of demographic and economic themes.
Society and Culture Collection Historical images from Western United States and the Pacific Northwest region covering political and social topics such as women’s issues, labor and government, and ethnic groups with special emphasis on the Japanese internment camps in the Northwest during World War II.
These interviews reflect religious, linguistic, occupational and gender diversity and provide rich insight into changing experiences of South Asians in the Pacific Northwest.
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It’s not surprising this World Heritage Site is the most reviewed of all the Italian sites; this city on water is captivating. I’ve visited Venice twice, and both times left me wanting more time to explore. Traveling by boat on the Grand Canal, the Venetian architecture is mesmerizing, while the smaller side canals offer a more intimate view of the city’s colorful neighborhoods. Venice’s vaporetto system offers a relatively inexpensive way to travel around the islands, and I highly recommend taking Line 1 for an evening circumnavigation of the Grand Canal, when all the churches and palaces are illuminated.
On foot, the paths between neighborhoods meander past churches and apartments and plazas, with a variety of bridges crossing the network of canals. It’s easy and worthwhile to lose oneself in Venice in this way, but if you need reorientation, the signs on the corners of the building direct back to main parts of the city. Recent press articles have bemoaned the death of Venice by tourism; I agree it should be managed, but I’d have to say I did not feel overwhelmed by crowds on my prior visits in spring and fall.
Perhaps those are better times of year to visit. Upon arrival to Venice by train or by automobile, the best way to see the city is either by boat or on foot. Venice’s vaporetto network is a great way to travel around the canals and lagoon. Jeanette Shumaker US – Jul – I agree with the reviews praising vaporetto rides and exploring backstreet Venice on foot. The Ca’ d’ Oro is another lovely palazzo with a fascinating collection of paintings and sculptures.
Palladio’s San Giorrgio Maggiore made me realize why Palladio is often copied in other nations.